Pakistan Needs Development, Not Drones

By Amitabh Pal, May 15, 2009

Too bad it had to come to this in Pakistan. More than a million civilians displaced, in the largest internal refugee crisis since the country’s founding. Hundreds killed in the fighting, including a yet unknown number of civilians. A breathtakingly beautiful area, the Swat Valley, in tatters.

But was this the only way to stop the Taliban from taking control of the entire country? A significant portion of the Pakistani elite—and the United States—certainly thinks so. And the Taliban’s advance, till they were literally 60 miles from Islamabad, the nation’s capital, was quite unsettling. Residents of the capital were so stressed that schools started barricading themselves, and all of them closed for a day. The Indian Hindu newspaper reports on a prominent architect in Islamabad who bought a rifle and a silencer in anticipation of a Taliban takeover.

“If [the Taliban] walk into this city, at least I will be able to take out some of them before they get me and my family,” he told the paper’s Pakistan correspondent.

In retrospect, the Pakistani government’s deal with the Taliban that effectively ceded control of the Swat region—with the accompanied imposition of extremely harsh Islamic law—seems to have been a big mistake. Rather than disarming the Taliban, it only emboldened them and made them attempt to expand their area of influence.

But at the time when the provincial government of the region (led, incredibly, by the family of the remarkable pacifist Abdul Ghaffar Khan) signed the agreement, it seemed a way of preventing a bloodbath.

“The ANP [the ruling Awami National Party] may have calculated that in the long run it could keep its nationalist credentials alive by working toward a ceasefire and bringing peace to the region, albeit not entirely on its own terms, ensuring that no more Pashtun blood would be spilled,” writes Pakistani Professor Kamran Asdar Ali for Middle East Report Online.

The Pakistani army was ambivalent about taking on the Taliban because it did not want to open up a third front, in addition to its borders with India and Afghanistan. In the mindset of the Pakistani army, India, with its manifold population and its principal role in the secession of the country’s eastern wing as Bangladesh, is still seen as the major threat to a country that came into existence by splitting off from India in 1947.

“The tribal areas are seen by the West as the ‘greatest threat’ to its security, as well as being the main cause of Western frustration with Pakistan,” writes Graham Usher in the London Review of Books. “The reason is simple: the Pakistan army’s counterinsurgency strategy is not principally directed at the Taliban or even Al Qaeda: The main enemy is India.”

Finally, the army was prodded into action partly due to a public outcry caused by the Internet distribution of a video showing a young woman being flogged by the Taliban in the Swat Valley due to alleged immoral behavior. (An official probe team conveniently dismissed the video as fake).

The Obama Administration, with the carrot of a multibillion dollar aid package dangling before the Pakistanis, played a strong role in pushing the Pakistani government to act, too. Top administration officials expressed repeated concern, and President Obama himself jointly hosted Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari and Afghan President Hamid Karzai in an attempt to get them to coordinate a joint strategy to fight Islamic fundamentalism.

At the same time, though, the United States has helped undermine the popularity of the Pakistani government because of the civilian casualties incurred by its repeated use of drones to target Al Qaeda leaders holed up in the frontier region.

“Of the 60 cross-border predator strikes carried out by the Afghanistan-based American drones in Pakistan between January 14, 2006 and April 8, 2009, only 10 were able to hit their actual targets, killing 14 wanted Al Qaeda leaders, besides perishing 687 innocent Pakistani civilians,” reports the Pakistani newspaper The News.

David Kilcullen, a top counterinsurgency expert who fashioned strategy in Iraq, recently told Congress that the drones were doing more harm than good.

“The drone strikes are highly unpopular,” he said in his testimony. “They are deeply aggravating to the population. And they've given rise to a feeling of anger that coalesces the population around the extremists and leads to spikes of extremism. ... The current path that we are on is leading us to loss of Pakistani government control over its own population.”

A better way to counter the extremists would be to help Pakistani citizens attain a decent quality of life, as the Obama Administration professes to be committed to doing. As Professor Ali points out, much of the turmoil in the Swat Valley can be traced back to the underdevelopment of the area.

“The patchwork remedies for periodic economic crisis in Swat have failed to date to provide opportunities for upward mobility to the region’s poor,” writes Ali. “It would be a fallacy to say that all present-day militancy in the region stems from class anger. It is no coincidence, however, that the Taliban has targeted large landholders, levying taxes on gemstone mines and forcing lumber contractors to offer job opportunities to locals.”

A little development would go a long way toward getting rid of the attraction of Islamic fundamentalism in the region.

Comments

Hizbut Towhid (HuT), which was established in Bangladesh’s Tangail district under the leadership of Mr. Bayeejid Khan Ponni @ Selim Ponni has secretlt established its branch in a number of countries in recent years with the aim of establishing branches of this ultra religious terrorist group in those countries.The international Head Quarters of Hizbut Towhid although is located in Dhaka (Bangladesh), the group has established a huge office at Malaysia’s Kuala Lumpur, where a Bangladeshi terrorist named Tanzil Chowdhury is given the responsibility of liaising with other terror groups like Al Qaida from Kuala Lumpur and collect fund for this organization from international donors.Hizbut Towhid purchased a luxurious apartment in the name of Tanzil Chowdhury at Apartment no. A-8-5, 1 Desa Residence, Taman Desa, Kuala Lumpur 58100, Malaysia.Hizbut Towhid purchased this apartment in the name of Tanzil Chowdhury, two years back at the cost of US$ 3 hundred thousand. They also purchased a Mercedez Benz and a Hammar Jeep for the Malaysia office of HuT.
Tanzil Chowdhury was a pimp of Tareq Rahman, Gias Uddin Al Mamun and many others in Hawa Bhaban. Mamun established a car sales center at Dhaka’s Kala Bagan area named ‘Trenz’, where Tanzil was given the responsibility as the manager. During this time, Tanzil Chowdhury came into contact with Hizbut Towhid.
Moreover, Hawa Bhaban men established a ‘Comfort House’ at Dhaka’s Uttara area which was operated by Tanzil Chowdhury and his wife named Sigma. Gias Uddin Al Mamun, Tareq Rahman, Opu Siraj, Harris Chowdhury and many other Hawa Bhaban men were regularly visiting this house spending hours with hired women or Tanzil’s wife Sigma. This ‘Comfort House’ at Uttara became one of the secret but most effective ‘Tadbir’ center during BNP rule.
When caretaker government came in power, Tanzil fled the country along with his wife. Meantime, using his previous contact with Hizbut Towhid, Tanzil managed to get their support in opening a huge branch of this group in Kuala Lumpur. Through this branch, every year, a couple of millions of dollars is collected for Hizbut Towhid.
Tanzil also is doing manpower and ‘Hawala’ (money laundering) business in Kuala Lumpur. Most of the fleeing BNP or Hawa Bhaban men are seen at the above mentioned apartment at Taman Desa during late hours. It is even learnt that, Al Qaida’s threat fax to American Embassy and other embassies in Bangladesh was originated from this house of Tanzil Chowdhury.
Tanzil Chowdhury is also involved in various types of criminal activities. In Bangladesh Tanzil was continuing fraudulent activities with the help of his wife as well he was maintaining close relations with local terrorist groups. He was a close friend of ‘Pichchi Hannan’.

Submitted by Naresh Bhadra on Tue, 06/02/2009 - 8:24pm.

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